Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
BMA
0 - 3
ACA
31%
25%
45%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
ACA
6 - 0
BEL
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
31%
24%
46%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 0
ACA
25%
23%
51%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 0
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
SCP
3 - 0
VIT
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
VIT
2 - 2
VAR
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
LEX
0 - 1
VIT
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1967 |
VIT
3 - 1
FAB
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |