Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
60%
22%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
VST
2 - 2
ACA
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
ACA
1 - 2
SPB
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1966 |
VIT
2 - 0
BMA
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1966 |
BEL
2 - 1
VIT
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1966 |
VIT
3 - 2
SCP
40%
24%
37%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LGC
1 - 1
VIT
33%
25%
43%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | -1 |