Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
22.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
SEI
1 - 3
ACA
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
48%
24%
28%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 4
FCP
34%
25%
41%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VIT
1 - 3
FAB
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
LEX
1 - 1
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 2
SCP
38%
25%
38%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 2
VIT
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
VIT
2 - 0
TOR
79%
14%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |