Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
FEI
2 - 1
ACA
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 1
LEX
52%
23%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACA
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
ACA
2 - 1
VST
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
FAB
2 - 0
ACA
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
VIT
1 - 2
BEL
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
LGC
0 - 1
VIT
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
VIT
5 - 0
FCB
78%
14%
8%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 2
VIT
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
VIT
0 - 3
FCP
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |