Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-4
Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
25%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1963 |
VIT
1 - 2
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
FCP
3 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ACA
1 - 2
BEL
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
LGC
3 - 3
ACA
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
ACA
8 - 0
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1963 |
VIT
1 - 2
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
VIT
1 - 2
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
VST
0 - 3
VIT
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
VIT
2 - 2
FAB
65%
19%
16%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SLB
6 - 2
VIT
85%
10%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |