Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
22%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 0
ACA
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
FCB
0 - 2
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
LGC
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FCB
1 - 2
VIT
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
VIT
3 - 2
BEL
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
VIT
3 - 1
SPC
69%
17%
14%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
FCP
2 - 2
VIT
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |