Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 2
ATL
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
ACA
7 - 4
LGC
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 1
ACA
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
39%
23%
39%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 1
FCB
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 1
VIT
81%
12%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
16%
19%
65%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SPB
3 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 3
BEL
39%
24%
37%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |