Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
ORI
3 - 2
ACA
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 0
ATL
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
44%
23%
33%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
VST
7 - 1
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
FCB
6 - 3
VIT
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
SPC
5 - 1
VIT
56%
22%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
ORI
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
ATL
5 - 1
VIT
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |