Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
SPB
0 - 1
ACA
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPC
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 2
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 2
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 2
ACA
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1952 |
SPC
4 - 0
VIT
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
VIT
3 - 0
EST
50%
21%
28%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ATL
4 - 1
VIT
77%
14%
9%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
VIT
1 - 1
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
FCB
4 - 0
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |