Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.2%
13.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ACA
3 - 3
ORI
72%
15%
14%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 3
ACA
57%
19%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
24%
20%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
VST
1 - 0
ACA
52%
21%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
OLH
3 - 0
ACA
58%
19%
23%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VIT
3 - 1
VST
63%
18%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
VST
2 - 1
VIT
61%
19%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
VIT
1 - 1
SPB
57%
21%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
ATL
3 - 2
VIT
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCP
22%
20%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |