Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
3.68
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
3.5%
6-3
1.1%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
4.8%
5-3
1.7%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
16.2%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
11.5%
10.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
29%
22%
49%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
ACA
1 - 0
OLH
51%
19%
30%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
SCP
5 - 3
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
ACA
0 - 3
BEL
35%
21%
45%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
FCP
2 - 4
ACA
82%
10%
8%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1945 |
EST
5 - 2
VIT
76%
13%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
VIT
4 - 4
SAL
75%
14%
11%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
VIT
1 - 2
SLB
8%
13%
79%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
VST
4 - 2
VIT
68%
16%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
VIT
2 - 1
OLH
34%
21%
45%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |