Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.6%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.5%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
15.5%
18.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
UNI
7 - 4
ACA
50%
20%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
SCP
2 - 4
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 4
BEL
41%
21%
39%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ACA
8 - 2
LEX
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ACA
7 - 2
FAB
70%
15%
15%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
FAB
1 - 3
VIT
43%
21%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
VIT
7 - 1
LEX
83%
10%
7%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
SLB
8 - 3
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
BEL
12 - 0
VIT
83%
10%
7%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
VIT
2 - 4
SCP
22%
19%
60%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |