Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.7%
22%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
ACA
5 - 2
BEL
40%
21%
39%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACA
81%
11%
8%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
ACA
7 - 1
OLH
73%
14%
13%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
ACA
6 - 3
APO
82%
10%
8%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
VIT
0 - 3
UNI
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 2
VIT
82%
11%
8%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
VIT
3 - 0
CAR
78%
13%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
LEC
3 - 1
VIT
28%
22%
50%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 4
FCB
71%
16%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |