Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
28%
30%
43%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1987 |
BEL
1 - 0
ACA
71%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
ACA
2 - 4
SLB
17%
27%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1987 |
FAR
2 - 0
ACA
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1988 |
VAR
0 - 0
FAR
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1988 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1987 |
VAR
2 - 1
RIO
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
PEN
2 - 1
VAR
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1987 |
VAR
1 - 0
SAL
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |