Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
VIT
1 - 1
ACA
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
82%
13%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
ACA
3 - 1
RIO
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1978 |
ACA
3 - 1
FEI
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 0
SLB
25%
27%
48%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
RIO
1 - 2
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
POR
1 - 0
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 1
ESP
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 2
VAR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +1 |