Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
59%
25%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1977 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
82%
13%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 0
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
FCP
2 - 0
ACA
80%
13%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
0 - 0
LEX
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1977 |
POR
2 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1976 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 0
VAR
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |