Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
ACA
2 - 1
LEX
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
FCB
0 - 0
ACA
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
ACA
3 - 1
TIR
82%
12%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
FAR
0 - 0
VAR
60%
23%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 1
VST
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 1
LEX
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1970 |
SLB
3 - 0
VAR
89%
9%
3%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 2
FCB
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |