Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
6.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 0
KUO
83%
10%
7%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
FCP
3 - 3
ACA
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCB
86%
10%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1969 |
VIT
0 - 0
VAR
76%
15%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 2
VAR
78%
13%
9%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
VAR
2 - 3
VIT
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 2
VAR
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |