Académica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
FCP
4 - 3
ACA
68%
19%
14%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAB
59%
22%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
VIT
3 - 2
ACA
62%
20%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
ACA
4 - 1
VST
58%
21%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
VST
1 - 1
VAR
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
VAR
3 - 0
SPB
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
SLB
1 - 0
VAR
95%
4%
2%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEX
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |