Académica vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
12.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
33%
29%
37%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
36%
28%
37%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
EST
0 - 0
ACA
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 1
ATL
64%
21%
16%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
SLB
6 - 1
UFT
89%
8%
3%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
0 - 5
FCP
28%
27%
45%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
UFT
1 - 0
VST
35%
31%
34%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
VIT
3 - 1
UFT
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 2
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |