Académica vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
8.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
VST
5 - 1
ACA
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 0
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
4 - 1
BOA
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
UFT
2 - 1
BEL
43%
27%
31%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 1
UFT
76%
15%
9%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1970 |
UFT
0 - 4
SLB
11%
19%
70%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 0
UFT
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
UFT
3 - 0
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +2 |