Académica vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
76%
17%
7%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
EST
2 - 1
ACA
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
ACA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2004 |
UDL
0 - 0
VIT
64%
21%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
UDL
1 - 2
NAC
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
UDL
3 - 3
SLB
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
BOA
1 - 0
UDL
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
SCP
2 - 0
UDL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |