Académica vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 2
GFC
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 1
VKP
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
83%
13%
4%
|
76 | 27 | 49 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
ACA
2 - 0
ATM
12%
21%
67%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ACV
2 - 0
TOU
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 0
SAN
19%
23%
58%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TOU
2 - 0
TOC
69%
18%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
COI
1 - 1
TOU
42%
26%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TOU
1 - 1
CIN
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |