Académica vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
FAB
3 - 1
ACA
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 3
LEX
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
FAB
6 - 2
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
ACA
3 - 0
LGC
73%
17%
11%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 4
VST
40%
27%
32%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
LGC
1 - 1
TOR
75%
14%
11%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
TOR
1 - 2
LGC
47%
23%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
TOR
0 - 3
FCP
16%
21%
64%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
CAL
2 - 1
TOR
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |