Académica vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
CAL
2 - 1
ACA
47%
23%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
ACA
2 - 2
VIT
52%
22%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
FAB
1 - 0
ACA
59%
21%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
26%
23%
51%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
LGC
5 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
FCP
5 - 0
TOR
80%
12%
8%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
TOR
1 - 1
SPB
46%
24%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
VIT
8 - 0
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
TOR
0 - 1
FCB
51%
23%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |