Académica vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
FCB
2 - 3
ACA
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 0
ATL
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
BEL
3 - 2
ACA
80%
12%
8%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
LGC
2 - 0
TOR
63%
19%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
TOR
3 - 2
FCB
61%
19%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
VST
2 - 3
TOR
61%
19%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
TOR
4 - 1
ORI
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
ATL
2 - 1
TOR
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |