Académica vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
BMA
1 - 0
ACA
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
ACA
0 - 2
VST
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
FAB
2 - 2
ACA
55%
25%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
FAR
4 - 2
ACA
42%
28%
30%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1972 |
TIR
2 - 4
LEX
43%
25%
32%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1972 |
LEX
3 - 1
TIR
62%
19%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1972 |
TIR
1 - 1
LEX
50%
21%
29%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1972 |
ATL
2 - 1
TIR
63%
21%
17%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
TIR
0 - 1
FCB
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |