Académica vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
BEL
0 - 2
ACA
35%
30%
35%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
ACA
3 - 2
FCP
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
VIT
1 - 2
ACA
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1970 |
ACA
3 - 1
BOA
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1970 |
TIR
1 - 1
VAR
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1970 |
VST
6 - 1
TIR
86%
10%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1970 |
TIR
3 - 1
LEX
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
SLB
7 - 0
TIR
96%
3%
1%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
TIR
3 - 2
FCB
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |