Académica vs Tirsense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
ACA
2 - 1
LEX
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 2
ACA
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 0
FCB
88%
9%
3%
|
79 | 48 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Tirsense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
SAN
1 - 0
TIR
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
TIR
0 - 0
FAB
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
SPB
3 - 0
TIR
71%
17%
11%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
LEX
2 - 0
TIR
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
TIR
2 - 1
BEL
47%
26%
28%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |