Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
59.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 2
ACA
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
DEP
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 0
ACA
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 1
SCP
15%
22%
63%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SCP
2 - 0
GFC
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | +1 |