Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UDL
0 - 2
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GFC
4 - 3
ACA
51%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 2
BOA
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SCP
1 - 0
BOA
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
SCP
2 - 0
GFC
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SCP
3 - 0
PAÇ
69%
20%
12%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
VST
1 - 2
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |