Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
56.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPB
44%
26%
31%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 3
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
ACA
2 - 2
PAÇ
40%
26%
33%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACA
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 1
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
SCP
3 - 4
VST
79%
16%
5%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2003 |
SCP
1 - 1
UDL
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 2
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |