Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
55.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 0
POR
49%
30%
21%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPB
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
CHA
2 - 0
ACA
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
AVE
2 - 1
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPB
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 0
SCP
18%
22%
61%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
SCP
1 - 0
AVE
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 1
SCP
13%
25%
62%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
SAL
2 - 2
SCP
18%
26%
56%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |