Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
57.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 0
ACA
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPB
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FAR
3 - 0
ACA
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 2
BEL
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 4
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
SCP
4 - 1
UFT
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
VAS
3 - 1
SCP
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
FCP
2 - 3
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
67%
19%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |