Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1962 |
BMA
1 - 1
ACA
62%
21%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
ACA
0 - 1
VIT
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
ACA
3 - 0
VIT
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
FAB
6 - 2
ACA
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ACA
2 - 2
ATL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1962 |
SCP
3 - 0
LGC
89%
8%
3%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
OLH
1 - 1
SCP
19%
22%
58%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
SCP
6 - 0
SAL
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 1
SCP
22%
23%
56%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |