Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
LGC
5 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
ACA
2 - 3
VST
56%
21%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
FCB
2 - 1
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1958 |
SDL
3 - 0
SCP
46%
22%
32%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
SCP
3 - 0
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCP
26%
24%
51%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 3
SDL
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAB
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |