Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-4
Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
ACA
11 - 0
CAL
70%
17%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
VIT
4 - 5
ACA
63%
19%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
ACA
2 - 0
FAB
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
SCP
1 - 1
ACA
82%
12%
7%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 0
LGC
62%
20%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCP
50%
22%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1959 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
48%
22%
30%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
SPC
1 - 0
SCP
27%
24%
49%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
SCP
1 - 1
ACA
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
CAL
0 - 0
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |