Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
59.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 1
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
44%
23%
32%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
SPC
3 - 2
ACA
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
ACA
5 - 1
FAB
69%
16%
15%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOA
68%
17%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1955 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCB
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1955 |
FCP
1 - 1
SCP
42%
21%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1955 |
LGC
2 - 1
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1955 |
SCP
5 - 2
SPB
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1955 |
SCP
1 - 2
BEL
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |