Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
58%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
ATL
0 - 1
ACA
71%
15%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
BEL
2 - 0
ACA
72%
15%
13%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 3
SPC
59%
19%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ACA
2 - 3
FCB
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
74%
14%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1952 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEL
82%
11%
7%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1951 |
SCP
8 - 0
FCB
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1951 |
SAL
0 - 3
SCP
5%
10%
86%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPB
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 1
SCP
17%
18%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |