Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.3%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
68.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
ATL
6 - 0
ACA
79%
12%
10%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 1
LUS
78%
12%
10%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
7 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
13%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 4
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
VIT
3 - 2
ACA
69%
16%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
1 - 3
SLB
57%
18%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1948 |
BEL
3 - 2
SCP
45%
20%
35%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
SCP
3 - 2
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 2
SCP
22%
19%
59%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
SCP
5 - 0
BOA
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |