Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
49.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACA
82%
10%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
BEL
5 - 0
ACA
80%
11%
9%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
ACA
3 - 4
SLB
39%
21%
40%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
ACA
5 - 2
FCP
36%
19%
45%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 6
OLH
77%
13%
11%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
43%
21%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1943 |
SCP
2 - 3
SLB
74%
13%
13%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1943 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
SCP
4 - 1
OLH
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
FAB
3 - 7
SCP
16%
17%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |