Académica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
45.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
BEL
4 - 0
ACA
73%
14%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCP
40%
21%
39%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
OLH
3 - 2
ACA
41%
21%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
APO
3 - 2
ACA
29%
20%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
ACA
4 - 1
UNI
76%
13%
11%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1942 |
SCP
4 - 2
UNI
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1942 |
SLB
4 - 3
SCP
50%
20%
29%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1942 |
SCP
4 - 1
CAR
98%
2%
1%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1942 |
LEC
0 - 3
SCP
3%
9%
88%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1942 |
SCP
7 - 1
FCB
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |