Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
4º
9º
5º
5
4º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
14 | 35 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 28 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 26 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 24 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 24 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 24 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 21 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
|
9º
|
5 | 20 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 18 |
10º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
34.5% | 17% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
65.5% | 83% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 3
ACA
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
1 - 1
ACA
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 3
TOR
21%
25%
55%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
UDL
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SPC
2 - 3
SCP
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TON
2 - 1
SPC
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
ACV
2 - 0
SPC
73%
18%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 2
FEL
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPC
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |