Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
ACA
2 - 1
BOA
58%
19%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
BOA
6 - 1
ACA
63%
18%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 3
SPC
53%
22%
26%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SPC
1 - 1
FCB
59%
21%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
SPC
5 - 4
VIT
65%
18%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
VIT
3 - 0
SPC
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
SPC
4 - 0
BOA
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 3
SPC
53%
22%
26%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |