Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
20.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 2
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 2
EST
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 2
ACA
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
ACA
3 - 2
ATL
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
EST
2 - 2
SPC
58%
20%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
SPC
7 - 0
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
LGC
3 - 1
SPC
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
SPC
1 - 3
FCB
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
SPC
2 - 2
SLB
25%
20%
56%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |