Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
22%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
ACA
2 - 3
FCB
63%
18%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
FCP
3 - 0
ACA
74%
14%
12%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
ACA
8 - 1
SAL
84%
10%
7%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
BOA
3 - 0
ACA
54%
20%
26%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 1
SPB
65%
18%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1951 |
FCP
6 - 1
SPC
80%
12%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1951 |
SPC
2 - 1
BOA
67%
16%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 0
SPC
48%
21%
31%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1951 |
SPC
4 - 2
EST
52%
19%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1951 |
SCP
6 - 2
SPC
89%
7%
4%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |