Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
BOA
5 - 0
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 2
ACA
61%
18%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
ACA
0 - 0
SPB
64%
18%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
69%
16%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
SPC
1 - 2
FCP
31%
21%
48%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
SPB
2 - 0
SPC
47%
21%
32%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPC
88%
7%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
SPC
3 - 2
SLB
23%
19%
59%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
OLH
4 - 2
SPC
50%
20%
30%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |