Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.7%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
ACA
3 - 2
FCP
43%
21%
36%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
VST
3 - 2
ACA
62%
18%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ACA
1 - 6
SCP
16%
17%
68%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
EST
1 - 1
ACA
73%
14%
13%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ACA
2 - 0
LUS
82%
11%
8%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SLB
7 - 1
SPC
89%
7%
4%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
SPC
2 - 1
BEL
18%
20%
62%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ATL
4 - 3
SPC
71%
15%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 2
SPB
52%
20%
28%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
OLH
3 - 1
SPC
73%
14%
13%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |