Académica vs SC Covilha analysis


64	ELO	63
6.6%	Tilt	6%
4041º	General ELO ranking	4237º
59º	Country ELO ranking	67º
ELO win probability

58.2%

Académica

19.4%

Draw

22.4%

SC Covilha

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

58.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%

19.4%

Draw

0-0

2.3%

1-1

7.7%

2-2

6.4%

3-3

2.4%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

19.4%

22.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-16%

-50%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches