Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
4 - 0
COV
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
22%
27%
52%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1979 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
SPB
5 - 2
GFC
67%
18%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
7 - 1
SPB
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
SPB
1 - 1
VST
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
SPB
0 - 2
SLB
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |